Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 41.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.21%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.