Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.