Segunda Division | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Albacete
1 - 0
Zaragoza

Quiles (90')
Silva (27'), Medina (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Borge (30'), Amador (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Albacete and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albacete

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-1 Albacete
Sunday, November 19 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Real Zaragoza

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-2 Huesca
Saturday, November 18 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Albacete in this match.

Result
AlbaceteDrawReal Zaragoza
42.56% (0.618 0.62)28.22% (-0.152 -0.15)29.21% (-0.469 -0.47)
Both teams to score 45.55% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.71% (0.351 0.35)60.29% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.54% (0.264 0.26)80.46% (-0.27 -0.27)
Albacete Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.506 0.51)28.03% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.641 0.64)63.68% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29% (-0.175 -0.18)36.7% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (-0.177 -0.18)73.49% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Albacete 42.56%
    Real Zaragoza 29.21%
    Draw 28.21%
AlbaceteDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 42.56%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 29.21%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 33
Zaragoza
1-1
Albacete
Lopez (54')
Isaac (66')
Dec 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
Albacete
0-0
Zaragoza
Jan 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Albacete
1-0
Zaragoza
Fuster (26' pen.)
Azamoum (13')
Arroyo (82')

Frances (19'), Vigaray (25'), Narvaez (40')
Oct 11, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 5
Zaragoza
1-0
Albacete
Narvaez (88')
Eguaras (65'), Bermejo Lillo (67'), Atienza (75')

Gorosito (44'), Navarro (73')
Jul 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 41
Albacete
4-1
Zaragoza
Maikel (13' pen.), Gorosito (22'), Ojeda (33', 46')
Maikel (73'), Acuna (80')
Burgui (29' pen.)
Clemente (62'), Buyla (82')