Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Albacete in this match.