Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.