Segunda Division | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio

Burgos
4 - 2
Alcorcon

Ojeda (53'), Nino (56'), Elgezabal (61'), Sancris (70')
Gonzalez (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lara (8'), Addai (19')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Alcorcon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Eldense 2-0 Burgos
Sunday, November 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Alcorcon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 3-1 Racing
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.33%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
BurgosDrawAlcorcon
40.33% (1.54 1.54)30.47% (0.119 0.12)29.19% (-1.666 -1.67)
Both teams to score 39.88% (-0.825 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.73% (-0.722 -0.72)67.27% (0.71600000000001 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.55% (-0.49 -0.49)85.44% (0.48400000000001 0.48)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.56399999999999 0.56)32.81% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (0.626 0.63)69.38% (-0.631 -0.63)
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-1.742 -1.74)40.64% (1.736 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (-1.606 -1.61)77.23% (1.601 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 40.32%
    Alcorcon 29.19%
    Draw 30.47%
BurgosDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 14.85% (0.61 0.61)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.462 0.46)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 13.38% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 13.33% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.47%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 29.19%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Burgos
3-1
Alcorcon
Munoz (25'), Valcarce (28'), Cordoba (60')
Cordoba (52')
Xisco (4')
Zarfino (19'), Gorosito (45+1'), Valle (51')
Oct 10, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Alcorcon
1-0
Burgos
Fernandez (90+1')
Gaston Vega Albornoz (25')

Munoz (16'), Zabaco (31'), Andy (35')