Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Elche
32.52% ( 0.03)	28.65% ( -0)	38.82% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.53% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.13% (

0.01)

60.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.1% (

0.01)

80.89% (

-0.01)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

0.02)

34.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

0.03)

71.26% (

-0.03)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

-0.01)

30.44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

-0.01)

66.64% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 32.52%

Elche 38.82%

Draw 28.64%

Amorebieta	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 32.52%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.82%