Segunda Division | Gameweek 24
Jan 27, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
1 - 0
Amorebieta

Andy (76' pen.)
Fontan (20'), Andy (79'), Lizoain (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (33'), Garreta (53'), Dorrio (81'), Etxeita (90+9')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Cartagena
Sunday, January 21 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Amorebieta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-2 Eldense
Saturday, January 20 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawAmorebieta
46% (0.488 0.49)26.87% (-0.081 -0.08)27.12% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.078000000000003 0.08)56.48% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.062999999999999 0.06)77.48% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.271 0.27)24.51% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.381 0.38)58.97% (-0.378 -0.38)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (-0.291 -0.29)36.32% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.294 -0.29)73.1% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 46%
    Amorebieta 27.12%
    Draw 26.87%
CartagenaDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.12%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Amorebieta
0-0
Cartagena
Sibo (41'), Gaya (61')
Musto (38'), Sola (90+4')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 41
Cartagena
5-0
Amorebieta
Castro (18' pen., 65', 68'), Bodiger (44'), Gallar (56')
Bodiger (52')

Larrazabal (19')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Amorebieta
2-3
Cartagena
Olaetxea (13'), Larrazabal (63')
Larrazabal (38')
Castro (19', 73'), Gallar (90+1')
Cayarga (38'), Delmas (48')