Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 43.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.