Segunda Division | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
4 - 1
Villarreal II

Ortuno (57' pen.), Del Moral (69' og.), Narvaez (72'), Alarcon (82')
Martinez (37'), Munoz (45+6'), Alarcon (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ontiveros (38' pen.)
Rodri (15'), Ontiveros (39')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-1 Real Oviedo
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawVillarreal II
49.91% (0.24299999999999 0.24)26.21% (0.053000000000001 0.05)23.88% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 47.21% (-0.443 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (-0.428 -0.43)56.22% (0.427 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (-0.347 -0.35)77.27% (0.346 0.35)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)22.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (-0.109 -0.11)56.2% (0.109 0.11)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (-0.516 -0.52)39.02% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.491 -0.49)75.74% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 49.91%
    Villarreal II 23.88%
    Draw 26.21%
CartagenaDrawVillarreal II
1-0 @ 13.11% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.84% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 49.91%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.88%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal II
1-2
Cartagena
Fores (8')
Ontiveros (16'), Abraham (38')
Ayllon Descalzo (71'), Ortuno (74')
Gonzalo (45'), Ortuno (76'), Narvaez (90+4')
Mar 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal II
5-2
Cartagena
Millan (9'), De la Fuente (73' pen.), Pacheco (90+3'), Fores (90+5'), Iosifov (90+9' pen.)
Valle (20'), Kiko (29')
Dec 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 19
Cartagena
0-1
Villarreal II
Pacheco (55')