Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Athletic Bilbao logo

Burgos
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Berchiche (2' og.), Miguel (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marton (54')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Burgos and Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Alcorcon 1-1 Burgos
Sunday, June 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, May 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
BurgosDrawAthletic Bilbao
35.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)35.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.07% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.58% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)81.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)69.17%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)33.1% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 35.89%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.18%
    Draw 28.92%
BurgosDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 11.94%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.18%