Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Andorra in this match.

Result
FC Andorra	Draw	Burgos
43.39% ( 0.16)	28.02% ( -0.06)	28.6% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.19% (

0.19)

59.81% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.91% (

0.14)

80.09% (

-0.14)

FC Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.18)

27.36% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

0.23)

62.82% (

-0.23)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

0.03)

36.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28% (

0.03)

73.72% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

FC Andorra 43.38%

Burgos 28.6%

Draw 28.01%

FC Andorra	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.6%