Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Andorra in this match.