Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Eldense

Burgos
1 - 2
Eldense

Appin (24')
Sancris (68'), Ojeda (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Soberon (5' pen.), Ortuno (44')
Ortuno (45+4'), Ortuno (67'), Capo (73'), Timor (88')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Eldense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-3 Burgos
Sunday, May 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Eldense

All competitions
Last Game: Eldense 1-2 Leganes
Sunday, May 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
BurgosDrawEldense
54.96%26.08% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)18.96% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.67% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)60.33% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.51% (-0.023 -0.02)80.49% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.012 -0.01)22.13% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)55.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.56% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)82.15% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 54.96%
    Eldense 18.96%
    Draw 26.08%
BurgosDrawEldense
1-0 @ 15.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.96%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 18.96%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Eldense
2-0
Burgos
Chapela (14'), Clemente (81')
Timor (40'), Clemente (89')

Grego (71'), Elgezabal (82')
Dec 22, 2022 6pm
Second Round
Eldense
1-0
Burgos
Cordoba (44' og.)