Eldense
Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat
Leganes logo

Eldense
1 - 2
Leganes

Ortuno (5')
Clemente (57'), Mackay (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garcia (47'), Franquesa (90+4')
de la Fuente (86'), Brasanac (90+2'), Franquesa (90+5'), Brasanac (93+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eldense and Leganes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eldense

All competitions
Last Game: Alcorcon 0-0 Eldense
Sunday, April 28 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Leganes

All competitions
Last Game: Leganes 1-1 Zaragoza
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.79%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 28.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (6.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.9%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
EldenseDrawLeganes
28.02% (-1.519 -1.52)32.19% (0.377 0.38)39.79% (1.138 1.14)
Both teams to score 35.67% (-1.309 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.97% (-1.261 -1.26)72.02% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.49% (-0.785 -0.79)88.5% (0.782 0.78)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.53% (-2.048 -2.05)44.46% (2.044 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.49% (-1.71 -1.71)80.5% (1.707 1.71)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)35.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (0.011999999999997 0.01)72.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Eldense 28.01%
    Leganes 39.79%
    Draw 32.18%
EldenseDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 5.37% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 28.01%
0-0 @ 15.9% (0.73 0.73)
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 32.18%
0-1 @ 16.35% (0.76 0.76)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Eldense vs Leganes

Eldense
33.3%
Draw
41.7%
Leganes
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Leganes
1-1
Eldense
Raba (35' pen.)
Jimenez (11'), Raba (28'), de la Fuente (85'), Nyom (90+4')
Ortuno (42')
Dumic (10'), Estevez (45+2'), Abad (70'), Chapela (85')