Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 47.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for FC Andorra had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a FC Andorra win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.