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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao


Crespo (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic will enter Saturday's contest as the favourites, but they have found victories hard to come by in recent away games, having won just one of their previous four road trips. As a result, we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Rayo side that has lost just one of their last seven home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
38.5% (0.209 0.21) 28.02% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 33.48% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51% (0.010000000000005 0.01)58.49% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.07% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.129 0.13)29.45% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.161 0.16)65.46% (-0.163 -0.16)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.131 -0.13)32.63% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (-0.147 -0.15)69.18% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 38.49%
    Athletic Bilbao 33.48%
    Draw 28.01%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.49%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.48%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
28.6%
Draw
24.7%
Athletic Bilbao
46.8%
77
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Rayo Vallecano
Guruzeta (23'), Espino (47' og.), Williams (64'), Williams (68')
Vivian (6')

Espino (32'), Falcao (87')
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Saturday, June 29
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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