Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.5% ( 0.21) | 28.02% ( -0.01) | 33.48% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.51% ( 0.01) | 58.49% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.93% ( 0.01) | 79.07% ( -0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% ( 0.13) | 29.45% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( 0.16) | 65.46% ( -0.16) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.37% ( -0.13) | 32.63% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.82% ( -0.15) | 69.18% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.49% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | GironaGirona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Real BetisBetis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> La Liga Full Table |