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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Granada logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Granada

Lejeune (23'), de Frutos (80')
Lopez (31'), Espino (57'), Nteka (90+2'), Falcao (90+5')
Trejo (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boye (89')
Corbeanu (42'), Callejon (83'), Neva (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 0-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Granada

Rayo may have failed to win any of their last three matches, but Wednesday's game represents a golden chance to return to winning ways. Granada have lost 14 of their 17 away La Liga games this season, and we think that they will fall to another defeat at Vallecas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawGranada
60.74% (0.379 0.38) 22.68% (-0.145 -0.15) 16.58% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 46.6% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (0.211 0.21)51.39% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (0.184 0.18)73.21% (-0.181 -0.18)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.20699999999999 0.21)16.51% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (0.36799999999999 0.37)46.24% (-0.364 -0.36)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)44.19% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72% (-0.137 -0.14)80.28% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 60.73%
    Granada 16.58%
    Draw 22.68%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.83% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.11% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.68%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 16.58%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Granada

Rayo Vallecano
77.2%
Draw
15.8%
Granada
7.0%
57
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Granada
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Sanchez (11'), Gumbau (50')
Puertas (86')
Garcia (75'), Ciss (79')
Hernandez (50')
Apr 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Granada
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Molina (67'), Milla (90+4' pen.)
Petrovic (8'), Milla (23'), Collado (45+3'), Arezo (88')
Catena (6'), Guardiola (17')
Comesana (49'), Guardiola (57'), Catena (90+3'), Hernandez (90+5')
Comesana (51')
Aug 29, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
4-0
Granada
Garcia (3'), Trejo (23' pen.), Nteka (43'), Comesana (58')
Ciss (38')

Suarez Charris (27'), Puertas (33'), Milla (33'), Quini (90+2')
May 7, 2018 8pm
Granada
0-2
Rayo Vallecano
Bebe (62'), Trejo (68')
de Tomas (5'), Baiano (42'), Ba (78')
Dec 2, 2017 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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