La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
0 - 4
Real Madrid

Boye (25'), Gumbau (45')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Garcia (38'), Guler (45+2'), Diaz (49', 58')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Granada
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Real Madrid
21.44% ( 0.01)	23.18%	55.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31% (

0.03)

46.69% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

0.03)

68.96% (

-0.03)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

0.03)

36.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

0.03)

72.79% (

-0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

0.01)

16.71% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.39% (

0.01)

46.61% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Granada 21.44%

Real Madrid 55.38%

Draw 23.18%

Granada	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.44%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.57% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.38%