Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
-
Noussair Mazraoui
46'
-
Leroy Sane
50'
-
Harry Kane
62'
-
Kim Min-jae
72'
-
Vinicius Junior
29'
-
Toni Kroos
67'
-
Lucas Vazquez
85'+1'
-
Vinicius Junior
89'
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Fharry-kane_1.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F09%2Fluka-modric.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F10%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Fvinicius-junior_1.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F15%2Fbayhar.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F16%2Fmncrma_1.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F16%2Fjude-bellingham.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fjude-bellingham.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result
Bayern Munich
53.12%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
21.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Real Madrid
24.98%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
62.26%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.07%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
36.93%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
40.89%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
59.11%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
22.86%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
77.14%
▲
(+0.10)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
85.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
14.05%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
58.39%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
41.61%
▲
(+0.15)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
72.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
27.57%
Over 1.5
36.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
63.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
53.12%
Draw
21.9%
Real Madrid
24.98%
Bayern Munich
2-1
@
9.61%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 53.12%
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 53.12%
Draw
1-1
@
9.79%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.9%
2-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.9%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
6.31%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 24.98%
Head to Head
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Corentin Tolisso
15'
-
Joshua Kimmich
51'
-
Robert Lewandowski
67'
-
Serge Gnabry
69'
-
Sven Ulreich
81'
-
Leon Goretzka
92'
-
Rodrygo
84'
Champions League
-
Karim Benzema
11'
-
Karim Benzema
46'
-
Luka Modric
62'
-
Lucas Vazquez
65'
-
Raphael Varane
88'
-
Casemiro
89'
-
Joshua Kimmich
3'
-
James Rodriguez
63'
Champions League
-
Joshua Kimmich
28'
-
Franck Ribery
52'
-
Thiago Alcantara
89'
-
Marcelo
44'
-
Marco Asensio
57'
-
Casemiro
78'
Champions League
-
Casemiro
40'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
76'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
104'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
110'
-
Marco Asensio
112'
-
Arturo Vidal
6'
-
Robert Lewandowski
53'
-
Xabi Alonso
70'
-
Mats Hummels
75'
-
Sergio Ramos
77'
(OG)
-
Arturo Vidal
84'
-
Arjen Robben
101'
Champions League
-
Arturo Vidal
25'
-
Javi Martinez
58'
-
Javi Martinez
61'
-
Arturo Vidal
90'
-
Toni Kroos
44'
-
Dani Carvajal
45'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
47'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
77'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Juan Bernat
34'
-
Rafinha
72'
-
Arturo Vidal
89'
-
Danilo
79'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F05%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.JPG)