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Joselu
88'
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Joselu
90'+1'
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Eduardo Camavinga
90'+11'
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Alphonso Davies
68'
-
Thomas Tuchel
90'+7'
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F19%2Freal-madrid.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Fharry-kane_1.jpg)
The match
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Freal-madrid.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F09%2Feric-dier.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F10%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 1-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Bayern Munich Goals
Score analysis
3-1 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.67%
2-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 31.52%
Head to Head
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Noussair Mazraoui
46'
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Leroy Sane
50'
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Harry Kane
62'
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Kim Min-jae
72'
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Vinicius Junior
29'
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Toni Kroos
67'
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Lucas Vazquez
85'+1'
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Vinicius Junior
89'
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Corentin Tolisso
15'
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Joshua Kimmich
51'
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Robert Lewandowski
67'
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Serge Gnabry
69'
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Sven Ulreich
81'
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Leon Goretzka
92'
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Rodrygo
84'
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Karim Benzema
11'
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Karim Benzema
46'
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Luka Modric
62'
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Lucas Vazquez
65'
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Raphael Varane
88'
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Casemiro
89'
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Joshua Kimmich
3'
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James Rodriguez
63'
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Joshua Kimmich
28'
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Franck Ribery
52'
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Thiago Alcantara
89'
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Marcelo
44'
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Marco Asensio
57'
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Casemiro
78'
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Casemiro
40'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
76'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
104'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
110'
-
Marco Asensio
112'
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Arturo Vidal
6'
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Robert Lewandowski
53'
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Xabi Alonso
70'
-
Mats Hummels
75'
-
Sergio Ramos
77'
(OG)
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Arturo Vidal
84'
-
Arjen Robben
101'
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Arturo Vidal
25'
-
Javi Martinez
58'
-
Javi Martinez
61'
-
Arturo Vidal
90'
-
Toni Kroos
44'
-
Dani Carvajal
45'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
47'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
77'
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