Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 3-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.