Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.