La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 4, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 0
Cadiz

Diaz (51'), Bellingham (68'), Joselu (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zaldua (38'), Zaldua (38')

Reaction

Belgium's Thibaut Courtois reacts on November 23, 2022

Thibaut Courtois reacts to comeback appearance for Real Madrid

Real Madrid goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois reveals his delight at making his first appearance of the season on Saturday.

May 4, 17:31

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca
Sunday, April 28 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 8.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
76.55% ( -0.14)	15% ( 0.08)	8.46% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.51% (

-0.16)

37.49% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.28% (

-0.17)

59.72% (

0.17)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.89% (

-0.06)

8.12% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.51% (

-0.17)

28.49% (

0.17)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.96% (

0.04)

49.04% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.02% (

0.03)

83.98% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 76.54%

Cadiz 8.46%

Draw 15%

Real Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
2-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 76.54%	1-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 15%	0-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.46%