La Liga
Gameweek
34
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fcadlog.png)
-
Brahim Diaz
51'
-
Jude Bellingham
68'
-
Joselu
90'+3'
-
Joseba Zaldua
38'
-
Joseba Zaldua
38'
Real Madrid vs Cadiz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F51%2Fthibaut-courtois.JPG)
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F17%2Frmabar.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fthibaut-courtois.jpeg)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 8.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Real Madrid
76.55%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
15%
▲
(+0.08)
Cadiz
8.46%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
46.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.51%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
37.49%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
40.28%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
59.72%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
22.37%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
77.63%
▲
(+0.15)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
91.89%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
8.12%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
71.51%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
28.49%
▲
(+0.18)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5
50.96%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
49.04%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
16.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
83.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
76.54%
Draw
15%
Cadiz
8.46%
Real Madrid
2-0
@
12.55%
▲
(+0.03)
3-0 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 76.54%
3-0 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 76.54%
Draw
1-1
@
7.12%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15%
0-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15%
Cadiz
0-1
@
2.84%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 8.46%
1-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 8.46%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
14
-
Ivan Alejo
67'
-
Alex Fernandez
70'
-
Javi Hernandez
71'
-
Federico Valverde
3'
-
Rodrygo
14'
-
Ferland Mendy
32'
-
Rodrygo
64'
-
Jude Bellingham
74'
-
Antonio Rudiger
84'
La Liga
Gameweek
29
-
Nacho
72'
-
Marco Asensio
76'
La Liga
Gameweek
14
-
Eder Militao
40'
-
Toni Kroos
70'
-
Lucas Perez
81'
La Liga
Gameweek
37
-
Ruben Sobrino
37'
-
Ruben Sobrino
42'
-
Alvaro Negredo
81'
-
Iza
84'
-
Ruben Alcaraz
86'
-
Luis Hernandez
88'
-
Fali
90'+8'
-
Anthony Lozano
90'+8'
-
Mariano
5'
-
Nacho
47'
-
Eden Hazard
74'
La Liga
Gameweek
18
-
Casemiro
26'
-
Cala
64'
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Salvi
8'
-
Iza
29'
-
Jens Jonsson
41'
-
Carlos Akapo
90'+2'
-
Raphael Varane
22'
-
Karim Benzema
30'
-
Alvaro Odriozola
33'
-
Karim Benzema
40'
-
Nacho
46'
-
Marcelo
68'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)