Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
| 65.06% ( | 20.37% ( | 14.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.49% ( | 45.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.16% ( | 67.84% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( | 13.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.07% ( | 39.93% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.66% ( | 43.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.42% ( | 79.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
| 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.89% Total : 65.04% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.1% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-2 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 1-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.57% |