Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Rio Ave

Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-4 Porto
Saturday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rio Ave
77.97% ( 0.04)	13.41% ( -0.02)	8.62% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.59% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.57% (

0.02)

28.42% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.73% (

0.02)

49.27% (

-0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.15% (

0.01)

5.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.56% (

0.03)

22.44% (

-0.03)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.98% (

-0.03)

42.02% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.55% (

-0.03)

78.45% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 77.97%

Rio Ave 8.62%

Draw 13.41%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 4.75% Total : 77.97%	1-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.41%	1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 8.62%