Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Rio Ave
52.85% ( 0.39)	24.49% ( -0.14)	22.67% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25% (

0.3)

50.75% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36% (

0.26)

72.64% (

-0.26)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

0.27)

19.16% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.18% (

0.44)

50.82% (

-0.44)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9% (

-0.07)

37.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

-0.07)

73.89% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 52.84%

Rio Ave 22.67%

Draw 24.48%

Swansea City	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.84%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.67%