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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
2 - 2
Swansea

Sara (34', 34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Paterson (24', 24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
57.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)21.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01)20.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)41.19% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)63.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)14.17% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.85% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)70.03% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 57.3%
    Swansea City 20.91%
    Draw 21.79%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
67.3%
Draw
19.2%
Swansea City
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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