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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 69.72% ( | 18.25% ( | 12.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( | 41.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( | 64.37% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.12% ( | 10.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.98% ( | 35.02% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( | 45.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.04% | 80.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 12.05% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 8.91% ( 3-1 @ 7.11% 4-0 @ 4.94% ( 4-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.92% Total : 69.71% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.25% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0-2 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.03% |