Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 79.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.78%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.