Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Norwich

Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Norwich City
49.08% ( -0.19)	23.88% ( 0.05)	27.04% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

-0.11)

44.32% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

-0.11)

66.69% (

0.11)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83% (

-0.12)

18.17% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85% (

-0.2)

49.15% (

0.2)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07% (

0.05)

29.93% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96% (

0.06)

66.03% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 49.08%

Norwich City 27.04%

Draw 23.87%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.08%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.04%