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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
| 44.17% ( | 26.56% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( | 54.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( | 75.62% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( | 70.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.28% |