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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
79.71% ( 0.93) | 13.4% ( -0.52) | 6.89% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.35% ( 0.92) | 35.65% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.29% ( 1.01) | 57.71% ( -1.01) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.96% ( 0.39) | 7.03% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.3% ( 1.04) | 25.7% ( -1.04) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.31% ( -0.46) | 51.69% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.2% ( -0.3) | 85.8% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.84% Total : 79.7% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.61% Total : 13.4% | 0-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.39% Total : 6.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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