FA Cup

FA Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry
5 - 0
Maidstone

Simms (9', 14', 35'), Tavares (88', 90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Match Report

Ellis Simms nets a first-half hat-trick as Coventry City cruise to a 5-0 win over non-league Maidstone United in the FA Cup fifth round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Coventry City and Maidstone United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Coventry 0-3 Preston
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Maidstone United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Maidstone
Monday, February 19 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 73.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Maidstone United
73.33% ( 0.14)	16.1% ( -0.08)	10.56% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.16% (

0.16)

35.84% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.08% (

0.17)

57.92% (

-0.17)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.57% (

0.07)

8.42% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.73% (

0.17)

29.27% (

-0.17)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.45% (

-0.02)

43.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25% (

-0.02)

79.75% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 73.32%

Maidstone United 10.56%

Draw 16.1%

Coventry City	Draw	Maidstone United
2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 73.32%	1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.01% Total : 16.1%	1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 10.56%