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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 44.44% ( | 25.26% ( | 30.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( | 48.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( | 70.57% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( | 21.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% ( | 54.99% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( | 29.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( | 65.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.3% |