Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.