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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 2
Stoke

Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
38.31% (0.025000000000006 0.03)25.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)36.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.023 0.02)68.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.025000000000006 0.03)24.02% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)58.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.68%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 38.31%
    Stoke City 36.47%
    Draw 25.21%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Stoke City
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')