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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Stoke logo

Blackburn
3 - 1
Stoke

Dolan (7', 37'), Szmodics (19')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ennis (39')
McNally (29'), Tchamadeu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
46.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.12%30.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.42% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.02% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.44% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)58.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 46.16%
    Stoke City 30.72%
    Draw 23.11%
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.72%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Stoke

Blackburn Rovers
48.6%
Draw
18.9%
Stoke City
32.4%
37
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-3
Blackburn

Thompson (90+1'), Pearson (90+2')
Wharton (4'), Moran (86'), Szmodics (90+1')
Dolan (45+1')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Stoke
3-2
Blackburn
Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Wharton (32'), Paul van Hecke (34')
Brown (4')
Maja (23'), Smith (56')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')