FA Cup
Jan 29, 2024 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Ewood Park
  • Sammie Szmodics 32' goal
  • Sam Gallagher 34' goal
  • Sammie Szmodics 45'+1' goal
  • Jake Garrett 51' yellowcard
  • Sondre Tronstad 59' goal
  • goal Andy Cannon 19'

Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Wrexham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result

Blackburn Rovers 49.98% (+2.15)
Draw 22.69% (+0.20)
Wrexham 27.32% (-2.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.73% (-2.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.37% (-2.58)
Under 2.5 38.63% (+2.58)
Over 3.5 39.07% (-2.78)
Under 3.5 60.93% (+2.78)
Over 4.5 21.4% (-2.25)
Under 4.5 78.6% (+2.24)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 84.3% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 15.7% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 55.23% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 44.76% (+0.37)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 73.23% (-2.84)
Under 0.5 26.77% (+2.84)
Over 1.5 37.95% (-3.90)
Under 1.5 62.05% (+3.90)

Score analysis

Blackburn Rovers 49.98%
Draw 22.69%
Wrexham 27.32%
Blackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 7.78% (+0.87)
2-0 @ 7.2% (+0.76)
3-1 @ 5.86% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 4.45% (+0.44)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.24)
4-1 @ 2.71% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.06% (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-98.60)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 49.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.34)
0-0 @ 4.2% (+0.50)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.69%
Wrexham
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.32)
0-1 @ 5.54% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.41)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.40)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.21)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 27.32%