Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.