FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 29, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
4 - 1
Wrexham

Szmodics (32', 45+1'), Gallagher (34'), Tronstad (59')
Garrett (51')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Cannon (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Wrexham
49.98% ( 2.14)	22.69% ( 0.19)	27.32% ( -2.33)

Both teams to score 61.73% (

-2.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.37% (

-2.58)

38.63% (

2.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.07% (

-2.77)

60.93% (

2.77)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

-0.2)

15.7% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.23% (

-0.37)

44.76% (

0.37)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

-2.84)

26.77% (

2.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

-3.9)

62.05% (

3.9)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 49.98%

Wrexham 27.32%

Draw 22.69%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.87) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.76) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.49) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.39) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.32%