League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Steven Fletcher 61' goal
  • Paul Mullin 69' goal
  • Elliot Lee 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Currie 21'

Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Wrexham 4 - 1 Barrow
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Forest Green 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result

Wrexham 46.9% (+0.06)
Draw 23.34% (+0.02)
AFC Wimbledon 29.75% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.27% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.96% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 40.04% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 37.59% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 62.41% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 20.24% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.76% (+0.08)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 82.64% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.36% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.24% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 47.76% (+0.03)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 74.14% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 25.86% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 39.17% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 60.83% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Wrexham 46.9%
Draw 23.34%
AFC Wimbledon 29.75%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.34%
AFC Wimbledon
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 29.75%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Omar Bugiel 40' yellowcard
  • Johnnie Jackson 41' yellowcard
  • Joe Lewis 48' yellowcard
  • Harry Pell 75' yellowcard
  • James Tilley 81' goal
  • goal Elliot Lee 22'
  • yellowcard Will Boyle 56'
  • yellowcard Elliot Lee 75'