Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.