EFL Trophy | Third Round

Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Tilley (21', 50')
Johnson (67'), Kalambayi (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Eastwood (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between AFC Wimbledon and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Coventry 6-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Oxford United
44.71%	23.38%	31.9%

Both teams to score 62.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.86%

39.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.53%

61.47%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12%

17.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35%

48.64%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91%

24.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62%

58.37%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 44.71%

Oxford United 31.9%

Draw 23.38%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.71%	1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.9%