League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cambridge

Goodrham (54'), Brown (90+5')
Brown (44'), Brannagan (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cousins (30')
Thomas (53'), May (74'), Stevens (90+2'), Brophy (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Cambridge United
66.3% ( 0.05)	20.28% ( 0.02)	13.42% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.45% (

-0.24)

47.54% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

-0.22)

69.75% (

0.21)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

-0.06)

13.46% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.54% (

-0.12)

40.46% (

0.11)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.68% (

-0.26)

46.31% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.04% (

-0.2)

81.96% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 66.29%

Cambridge United 13.42%

Draw 20.28%

Oxford United	Draw	Cambridge United
2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 66.29%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.28%	0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.42%