League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Campbell (5')
Jones (60'), Anderson (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Harris (22'), Smyth (85')
McGuane (45+5'), McEachran (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Charlton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Oxford United
48.85% ( 0.26)	23.33% ( -0.1)	27.82% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 59.9% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77% (

0.34)

41.23% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38% (

0.34)

63.62% (

-0.34)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

0.23)

17.08% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.74% (

0.4)

47.26% (

-0.4)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

0.06)

27.76% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66% (

0.07)

63.33% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 48.85%

Oxford United 27.82%

Draw 23.32%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.85%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.82%