League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Palmer-Houlden (34', 34', 34')
Morris (37'), Morris (37'), Morris (37'), Evans (55'), Charsley (64'), Waite (89'), Townsend (90'), Palmer-Houlden (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Parkinson (19'), Parkinson (19'), Parkinson (19'), McClean (37'), McClean (37'), McClean (37'), O'Connell (84'), Palmer (90+1')
Boyle (18'), Boyle (18'), Boyle (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Newport
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Wrexham
36.11% ( -0.3)	25.22% ( -0.08)	38.66% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

0.34)

46.74% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

0.32)

69% (

-0.33)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

-0.01)

25.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

-0.01)

60.01% (

0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

0.35)

23.87% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93% (

0.51)

58.07% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Newport County 36.11%

Wrexham 38.66%

Draw 25.22%

Newport County	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 38.66%