/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
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Seb Palmer-Houlden
34'
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Seb Palmer-Houlden
34'
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Seb Palmer-Houlden
34'
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Bryn Morris
37'
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Bryn Morris
37'
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Bryn Morris
37'
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Will Evans
55'
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Harry Charsley
64'
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James Waite
89'
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Nick Townsend
90'
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Seb Palmer-Houlden
90'+4'
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Will Boyle
18'
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Will Boyle
18'
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Will Boyle
18'
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Phil Parkinson
19'
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Phil Parkinson
19'
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Phil Parkinson
19'
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James McClean
37'
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James McClean
37'
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James McClean
37'
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Eoghan O'Connell
84'
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Ollie Palmer
90'+1'
Newport County vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F03%2Fnewport-county.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
36.11%
▼
(-0.30)
Draw
25.22%
▼
(-0.09)
Wrexham
38.66%
▲
(+0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
56.9%
▲
(+0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.26%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 2.5
46.74%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
30.99%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 3.5
69%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 4.5
15.36%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 4.5
84.63%
▼
(-0.23)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
74.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
39.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
60.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
76.12%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 0.5
23.87%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 1.5
41.93%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 1.5
58.07%
▼
(-0.51)
Score analysis
Newport County
36.11%
Draw
25.22%
Wrexham
38.66%
Newport County
1-0
@
8.3%
▼
(-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 36.11%
2-1 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1
@
11.88%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
Wrexham
0-1
@
8.64%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1% ▼ (-96.50)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.66%
1-2 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1% ▼ (-96.50)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.66%