Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.