Eastleigh vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.