FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
1 - 3
Newport

McCallum (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wildig (3'), Clarke (60'), Evans (79')
Payne (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Eastleigh and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Eastleigh 0-1 Southend
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Newport
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Newport County
29.62% ( -0)	23.22% ( 0)	47.15%

Both teams to score 61.61% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.44% (

-0.01)

39.56% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.09% (

-0)

61.9% (

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

-0)

25.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38% (

-0.01)

60.62% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

-0)

17.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

-0)

47.26% (

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 29.62%

Newport County 47.15%

Draw 23.21%

Eastleigh	Draw	Newport County
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.62%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 5.49% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.42% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.12% Total : 47.15%