Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Southend United |
| 38.9% ( | 24.04% | 37.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.91% ( | 41.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.51% ( | 63.48% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( | 21.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.84% ( | 54.16% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( | 22.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( | 55.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.71% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.05% |