/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
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Daniel James
33'
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Ilia Gruev
90'+5'
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Josh Laurent
37'
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Ben Pearson
69'
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Ben Pearson
86'
Leeds United vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F08%2Fdaniel-farke.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result
Leeds United
61.09%
▲
(+0.40)
Draw
20.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Stoke City
18.26%
▼
(-0.46)
Both Teams to Score:
56.48%
▼
(-1.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.09%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 2.5
39.91%
▲
(+1.04)
Over 3.5
37.72%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 3.5
62.27%
▲
(+1.09)
Over 4.5
20.34%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 4.5
79.66%
▲
(+0.85)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
87.38%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
12.62%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
61.25%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
38.74%
▲
(+0.44)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
64.64%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 0.5
35.36%
▲
(+1.11)
Over 1.5
27.88%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 1.5
72.12%
▲
(+1.17)
Score analysis
Leeds United
61.09%
Draw
20.65%
Stoke City
18.26%
Leeds United
2-1
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.31)
1-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.09%
2-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.31)
1-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.09%
Draw
1-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.65%
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.65%
Stoke City
1-2
@
4.99%
▼
(-0.10)
0-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.26%
0-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.26%