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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Preston North End logo

Plymouth
0 - 1
Preston


Miller (41'), Sousa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (43')
Keane (17'), McCann (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)25.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)36.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.0020000000000095 0)24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 38%
    Preston North End 36.55%
    Draw 25.44%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Preston

Plymouth Argyle
42.9%
Draw
11.4%
Preston North End
45.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Preston
2-1
Plymouth
Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm