Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
3 - 0
Stoke

Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
41.68% ( 0.11)	24.87% ( 0.04)	33.45% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.4% (

-0.21)

45.59% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.08% (

-0.2)

67.92% (

0.2)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.04)

21.86% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.89% (

-0.06)

55.1% (

0.05)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

-0.19)

26.27% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62% (

-0.26)

61.38% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 41.68%

Stoke City 33.45%

Draw 24.87%

Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.45%