/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
-
Giorgi Chakvetadze
45'+1'
-
Jake Livermore
45'+3'
-
Ryan Porteous
57'
-
Ryan Andrews
67'
-
Ryan Porteous
83'
-
Ryan Andrews
18'
(OG)
-
Josh Tymon
32'
-
Nathan Wood
36'
Watford vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F02%2Fluke-williams.png)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Watford
50.42%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
23.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Swansea City
25.76%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
56.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.92%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
45.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
32.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
67.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
16.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
83.51%
▼
(-0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
82.06%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
17.93%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
51.24%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
48.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
68.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
31.32%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
32.32%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
67.67%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Watford
50.42%
Draw
23.81%
Swansea City
25.76%
Watford
1-0
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.42%
2-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.42%
Draw
1-1
@
11.2%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
0-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
Swansea City
0-1
@
6.52%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.76%
1-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.76%