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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Swansea
0 - 1
Plymouth


Cabango (22'), Cooper (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whittaker (18')
Hazard (71'), Gyabi (76'), Miller (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
56.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)21.84% (-0.116 -0.12)21.9% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.5% (0.516 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (0.636 0.64)40.12% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (0.654 0.65)62.49% (-0.652 -0.65)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (0.232 0.23)14.14% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (0.44900000000001 0.45)41.79% (-0.447 -0.45)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.419 0.42)31.87% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.478 0.48)68.31% (-0.476 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.26%
    Plymouth Argyle 21.9%
    Draw 21.83%
Swansea CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Swansea vs Plymouth

Swansea City
30.6%
Draw
30.6%
Plymouth Argyle
38.9%
36
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Plymouth
1-3
Swansea
Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')
Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Hardie (89')
Piroe (6')
Aug 24, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Swansea
4-1
Plymouth
Williams (29'), Whittaker (79', 86', 90')
Manning (39'), Bennett (51')
Shirley (63')
Jul 20, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Swansea
Hardie (47')
Whittaker (23'), Naughton (32')
Jul 27, 2014 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-4
Swansea
Donnelly (9'), Amat (69'), Sigurdsson (72', 90')
rhs 2.0


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